1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:03,293 (Calming Music Playing) 2 00:00:03,293 --> 00:00:06,420 (Calming Music Playing) 3 00:00:06,420 --> 00:00:09,300 (Calming Music Playing) 4 00:00:09,300 --> 00:00:10,530 - Thanks to technology, 5 00:00:10,530 --> 00:00:14,470 TxDOT has improved the way it monitors roadways. 6 00:00:14,470 --> 00:00:18,270 This new and enhanced road condition data is the basis 7 00:00:18,270 --> 00:00:21,120 for a major maintenance project conducted by 8 00:00:21,120 --> 00:00:23,900 researchers at the University of Texas. 9 00:00:23,900 --> 00:00:27,810 It's designed to help TxDOT be more accurate in determining 10 00:00:27,810 --> 00:00:30,570 and predicting maintenance needs. 11 00:00:30,570 --> 00:00:34,320 - So they need to predict what's the 12 00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:37,370 estimated payment condition in the next year or 13 00:00:37,370 --> 00:00:38,780 two or three or four. 14 00:00:38,780 --> 00:00:42,450 The key is to predict on an accurate 15 00:00:42,450 --> 00:00:47,120 manner and to minimize the uncertainty of this predictions. 16 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:51,710 - This project was designed to take the payment data 17 00:00:51,710 --> 00:00:55,300 and make updates of the payment prediction models. 18 00:00:55,300 --> 00:00:58,900 So that way, we have a more accurate prediction of 19 00:00:58,900 --> 00:01:01,530 the future payment conditions. And so 20 00:01:01,530 --> 00:01:05,820 we can better allocate the money, limited money to the 21 00:01:05,820 --> 00:01:09,400 right sections and the right time to get 22 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:12,020 most cost effective results. 23 00:01:12,020 --> 00:01:15,410 - The data analysis techniques have evolved enormously 24 00:01:15,410 --> 00:01:17,260 in the past 10, 20 years. 25 00:01:17,260 --> 00:01:21,690 So we were able to use data-mining techniques, 26 00:01:21,690 --> 00:01:25,920 very advanced statistical models and artificial intelligent 27 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:29,060 tools as well to develop our models. 28 00:01:29,060 --> 00:01:33,870 And one of the advantage of these new models that we develop 29 00:01:33,870 --> 00:01:36,540 is that in some cases for some payments, 30 00:01:36,540 --> 00:01:39,940 we managed to reduce this uncertainty. 31 00:01:39,940 --> 00:01:41,720 - Now we have a ARVR, 32 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:44,180 what we call automated, uh, 33 00:01:44,180 --> 00:01:46,710 3D laser technology 34 00:01:46,710 --> 00:01:50,580 uh, equipped vehicles, and drive down the road at 35 00:01:50,580 --> 00:01:53,820 highway speed and collect the data continuously. 36 00:01:53,820 --> 00:01:57,670 - On the one hand, we have better data quality. 37 00:01:57,670 --> 00:02:01,610 On the other hand today, as compared with 10 years ago, 38 00:02:01,610 --> 00:02:03,970 there is many more 39 00:02:03,970 --> 00:02:05,870 advanced data analysis 40 00:02:05,870 --> 00:02:08,630 techniques that we could put our hands on. 41 00:02:08,630 --> 00:02:12,340 And that is why the models today 42 00:02:12,340 --> 00:02:16,330 can predict, eh, in a much more accurate way. 43 00:02:16,330 --> 00:02:20,630 - The new model versus old model, we see the improvement, 44 00:02:20,630 --> 00:02:23,580 uh, but you know, the system is a whole, 45 00:02:23,580 --> 00:02:26,650 and we need to consider not just the prediction models. 46 00:02:26,650 --> 00:02:29,590 We also need to consider another important piece, 47 00:02:29,590 --> 00:02:31,410 which is the decision trees. 48 00:02:31,410 --> 00:02:34,860 So that worked together to make recommendations. 49 00:02:34,860 --> 00:02:38,670 - We, we do hope that this project received some further 50 00:02:38,670 --> 00:02:42,170 consideration and it's implemented because as I say, 51 00:02:42,170 --> 00:02:44,580 the research is done, it has been paid off. 52 00:02:44,580 --> 00:02:48,230 It's finished. So now implementation 53 00:02:48,230 --> 00:02:51,230 could take a couple of years and check out how 54 00:02:51,230 --> 00:02:54,840 these new models perform relative to the old ones. 55 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:58,220 But by looking at the data, by looking at the models, 56 00:02:58,220 --> 00:03:00,810 you can see that the predictions are more accurate 57 00:03:00,810 --> 00:03:03,730 and the potential for savings are there. 58 00:03:03,730 --> 00:03:05,410 - For more information, and to find the 59 00:03:05,410 --> 00:03:08,290 publications for this project, please visit the 60 00:03:08,290 --> 00:03:11,783 TxDOT research library at the link shown below.