TxDOT Research Library - Publication Details

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Title:

Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex and Race / Ethnicity for 2010-2050

Authors:

Produced by The Office of the State Demographer, The Texas State Data Center in collaboration with The Hobby Center for Public Policy

Published:

2014

[San Antonio, Texas]

University of Texas at San Antonio (UTSA). Texas Demographic Center

Type:

Online document

1 PDF (33 pages)

Online Access:

https://demographics.texas.gov/Projections/2018/To...

Access Note:

865 KB

Supplement:

Data is available via an interactive tool and CSV files at http://demographics.texas.gov/Data/TPEPP/Projections/

Summary

"The current projections are of the population of the State and of all counties in the State for each year from 2010 through 2050. These are thus similar in form to those released by the pro-gram in November 2012 but have been revised using the most recent birth and death data and also the most recent information on special populations. They are by single years of age for ages 0 through 85 years of age and older for males and females in each of four racial/ethnic groups—Non-Hispanic Whites, Non-Hispanic Blacks, Hispanics (of all races), and persons from Non-Hispanic Other racial/ethnic groups. The total population is the sum of these four racial/ethnic groups with their sum for 2010 being equal to the 2010 census count for the State of Texas and for all counties in Texas."

"These projections, like all projections, involve the use of certain assumptions about future events that may or may not occur. Users of these projections should be aware that although the projections have been prepared with the use of detailed methodologies and with extensive attempts have been made to account for existing demographic patterns, they may not accurately project the future population of the State or of particular counties in the State."

Publ. Place

[San Antonio, Texas]

Contents

Introduction --
Methodology for Projections --
Selection of Baseline Cohorts --
Determination of Baseline Fertility, Mortality and Migration Rates --
Projection of Trends in Fertility, Mortality and Migration --
The Computation and Selection of Future Projection Scenarios --
Changes and Corrections to Previous Projections --
Data Available from the Projections --
References --
Appendix A: Baseline Population by Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity for 2010 for the State of Texas --
Appendix B: Baseline Survival Rates by Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity for 2009-2011 for the State of Texas --
Appendix C: Baseline Fertility Rates by Age and Race/Ethnicity for 2009-2011 for the State of Texas --
Appendix D: Baseline Migration Rates (per person per year) by Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity for 2000-2010 for the State of Texas

Notes

"November 2014"